The implications of El Niño-Southern Oscillation signal for South China monsoon climate
Keywords:
cold surge, South China Sea summer monsoon, East Asia winter monsoonAbstract
The objective of this research is to explore the impacts of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on a possible connection between winter monsoon and summer monsoon over South China. In boreal winter, the strong or weak northerly anomalies due to the East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM), sweep across the continent to the costal regions, which might be favorable for the occurrence of an ENSO event. In boreal summer, South China tends to experience less (more) rainfall and more (less) temperature extremes which might be in the mature phase of a warm (cold) ENSO event. It is also found that more frequent cold surges might be followed by less temperature extremes in the coming year. The possible connection might be that the western Pacific subtropical high after a strong (weak) EAWM year would move northward (southward) through the modification of a ENSO event; this northward (southward) western Pacific subtropical high might result in earlier (later) south China summer monsoon onset and lead to a strong (weak) summer monsoon in the coming year.
References
Chan, J. C.L. and Zhou, W. 2005. PDO, ENSO and the summer monsoon rainfall over South China. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32: L08810
Chang, C.-P., Harr, P. and Ju, J. 2001. Possible roles of Atlantic circulations on the weakening Indian Monsoon Rainfall-ENSO relationship. J. Climate, 14: 2376–2380.
Chen, W. 2002. Impacts of El Niño and La Nina on the cycle of the East Asian winter and summer monsoon. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 26: 595–610.
Chen, W. and Kang, L.-H. 2006. Linkage between the Arctic Oscillation and winter climate over East Asia on the interannual timescale: Roles of quasi-stationary planetary waves. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 30: 863–870.
Chen, W., Graf, H. F. and Huang, R. H. 2000. The interannual variability of East Asian winter monsoon and its relation to the summer monsoon. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 17: 48–60.
Chen, W., Yang, S. and Huang, R.-H. 2005. Relationship between stationary planetary wave activity and the East Asian winter monsoon. J. Geophys. Res., 110: D14110 doi:10.1029/2004JD005669
Chen, W., Wang, L., Xue, Y. and Sun, S. 2009. Variabilities of the spring river runoff system in East China and their relations to precipitation and sea surface temperature. Int. J. Climatol., 29: 1381–1394.
Chiang, J. C.H. and Vimont, D. J. 2004. Analogous Pacific and Atlantic Meridional Modes of Tropical Atmosphere-Ocean Variability. J. Climate, 17: 4143–415.
Ding, Y. H. 1987. Monsoon over China, New York: Springer.
Ding, Y. H. and Liu, Y. J. 2001. Onset and the evolution of the summer monsoon over the South China Sea during the SCSMEX field experiment in 1998. Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan, 79: 255–276.
Grinsted, A., Moore, J. C. and Jevrejeva, S. 2004. Application of the cross wavelet transform and wavelet coherence to geophysical time series. Nonlin. Process. Geophys., 11: 561–566.
Gong, D. and Ho, C. H. 2002. The Siberian high and climate change over middle to high latitude Asia. Theor. Appl. Climatol., 72: 1–9.
Gong, D., Wang, S. and Zhu, J. 2001. East Asian Winter Monsoon and Arctic Oscillation. Geophys. Res. Lett., 28: 2073–2076. doi:10.1029/2000GL012311
Huang, R. H., Chen, W., Yan, B. L. and Zhang, R. H. 2004. Recent advances in studies of the interaction between the East Asian winter and summer monsoon and ENSO cycle. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 21: 407–424.
Hurrell, J. W. 1996. Influence of variations in extratropical wintertime teleconnections on Northern Hemisphere temperature. Geophys. Res. Lett., 23: 665–668.
Hurrell, J. W., Kushnir, Y., Otterson, G. and Visbeck, M. 2003. An overview of the North Atlantic Oscillation, The North Atlantic Oscillation: Climatic Significance and Environmental Impact. Geophysical Monograph 134. American Geophysical Union, 10.1029/134GM01
Hsu, H. H. and Wallace, J. M. 1985. Vertical structure of wintertime teleconnection patterns. J. Atmos. Sci., 42: 1693–1710.
Mantua, N. J., Hare, S. R., Zhang, Y., Wallace, J. M. and Francis, R. C. 1997. A Pacific Interdecadal Climate Oscillation with Impacts on Salmon Production. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 78: 1069–1079.
McCreary, J. P. and Lu, P. 1994. Interaction between the subtropical and equatorial ocean circulations: the subtropical cell. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 24: 466–497.
Vimont, D. J., Battist, D. S. and Hirst, A. C. 2001. Footprinting: A seasonal connection between the tropics and mid-latitudes. Geophys. Res. Lett., 28: 3923–3926.
Wallace, J. M., Zhang, Y. and Renwick, J. A. 1995. Dynamical contribution to Hemispheric temperature trends. Science, 270: 780–783.
Wallace, J. M., Zhang, Y. and Bajuk, L. 1996. Interpretation of interdecadal trends in Northern Hemisphere surface air temperature. J. Climate, 9: 249–259.
Walter, K. and Graf, H.-F. 2002. On the changing nature of the regional connection between the North Atlantic Oscillation and sea surface temperature. J. Geophys. Res., 107(D17): 4338 doi: 10.1029/2001JD000850
Wang, B. and Lin, H. 2002. Rainy seasons of the Asian-Pacific monsoon. J. Climate, 15: 386–398.
Wang, L., Chen, W. and Huang, R. H. 2007. Changes in the variability of North Pacific Oscillation around 1975/1976 and its relationship with East Asian winter climate. J. Geophys. Res., 112: D11110 doi:10.1029/2006JD008054
Wu, M. C. and Chan, J. C.L. 1995. Surface features of winter monsoon surges over South China. Mon. Wea. Rev., 123: 662–680.
Zhang, Y., Sperber, K. R. and Boyle, J. S. 1997. Climatology and interannual variation of the East Asian winter monsoon: results from the 1979–95 NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis. Mon. Wea. Rev., 125: 2605–2619.
Zhou, W. and Chan, J. C.L. 2007. ENSO and South China Sea summer monsoon onset. International Journal of Climatology, 27: 157–167.
Zhou, W., Li, C. Y. and Wang, X. 2006. Possible connection between Pacific oceanic interdecadal pathway and east Asian winter monsoon. Geophys. Res. Lett., 34: L01701 doi:10.1029 /2006GL027809
Zhou, W., Wang, X., Zhou, T. J., Li, C. Y. and Chan, J. C.L. 2007. Interdecadal variability of the relationship between the East Asian winter monsoon and ENSO. Meteorol Atmos. Phys., DOI 10.1007/s00703-007-0263-6
Zhou, W., Chan, J. C.L., Chen, W., Ling, J., Pinto, J. G. and Shao, Y. 2009. Synoptic-scale controls of persistent low temperature and icy weather over Southern china in January 2008. Mon. Wea. Rev., Doi:10.1175/2009MWR2952.1
Published
Issue
Section
License
Manuscripts must be original. They must not be published or be under consideration for publication elsewhere, in whole or in part. It is required that the lead author of accepted papers complete and sign the MSU Press AEHM Author Publishing Agreement and provide it to the publisher upon acceptance.
